Expecting to see a big step up from Ferrari and Mercedes when the circus returns to Europe. I'll probably eat these words, but I'm not sure how much development "room" there is in the Red Bull, apart from reliability since it is essentially a typical Newey, fragile yet fast machine.
As to Shanghai.... apart from grip levels which are hard to gauge unless you're on the pit wall, it's essentially the same track as Malaysia in my eyes, so expect similar results. RBR, Ferrari, McLaren, Mercedes in that order.
I'm truly hating these Tilke tracks. The guy has no idea what makes a good racing circuit. He's got, what 6 or so new tracks around the world and only has one corner worth a damn in all the tracks combined, at the 14 apex Turkey corner???